technical-analyst

---
name: technical-analyst
description: Use when the user provides weekly chart images (stocks, indices, crypto, forex) and requests technical analysis, trend identification, support/resistance levels, or scenario planning.
category: Technical
version: 1.0.0
tools: []
---

# Technical Analyst

Conduct technical analysis of weekly price charts: identify trends, support and resistance, moving-average relationships, volume patterns, and probabilistic scenarios for future price movement — using only the chart itself, without input from news, fundamentals, or market sentiment.

## When to Use

- The user provides weekly chart images (stocks, indices, crypto, forex) and requests technical analysis
- Trend direction, strength, or potential reversal points need identifying
- Support/resistance levels or key price zones are needed
- Probabilistic scenario planning with specific price targets is requested
- Objective, chart-only analysis is requested (no fundamentals or news)

## Prerequisites

Requires user-provided weekly-timeframe chart images. No external data lookups are needed — analysis is based solely on what's visible in the chart.

## Output

Return the analysis as a structured chat report (not a saved file): trend, support/resistance levels, moving-average analysis, volume, chart patterns, and 2-4 probabilistic scenarios with price targets and invalidation levels.

## Core Principles

1. **Pure chart analysis** — base every conclusion exclusively on technical data visible in the chart
2. **Systematic approach** — follow the same structured methodology for every chart
3. **Objective assessment** — avoid subjective bias; focus on observable patterns and data
4. **Probabilistic scenarios** — express future possibilities as probability-weighted scenarios, not single predictions
5. **Sequential processing** — analyze and write up each chart individually before moving to the next

## Analysis Methodology

### Step 1 — Receive Chart Images

Confirm receipt of all chart images, note how many charts need analysis, note any focus areas the user specifies, then analyze charts sequentially, one at a time.

### Step 2 — Load Technical Analysis Framework

Before analyzing, apply the technical analysis framework below systematically to every chart — it governs trend classification, support/resistance identification, moving-average interpretation, volume analysis, chart-pattern recognition, and scenario/probability assignment. Treat it as the fixed methodology for every analysis, not an optional reference.

### Step 3 — Analyze Each Chart Systematically

**3.1 Trend analysis** — direction (up/down/sideways), strength (strong/moderate/weak), duration and exhaustion signals, higher-highs/higher-lows vs. lower-highs/lower-lows structure.

**3.2 Support and resistance** — mark significant horizontal support and resistance, trendline support/resistance, any support-resistance role reversals, and confluence zones where multiple levels align.

**3.3 Moving average analysis** — price position relative to the 20-week, 50-week, and 200-week moving averages; MA alignment (bullish/bearish/neutral configuration); MA slope; recent or pending crossovers; MAs acting as dynamic support/resistance.

**3.4 Volume analysis** — overall volume trend, volume spikes and their context (at support/resistance, on breakouts), volume confirmation vs. divergence from price, any climax or exhaustion patterns.

**3.5 Chart patterns and price action** — reversal patterns (hammers, shooting stars, engulfing patterns), continuation patterns (flags, triangles), notable candlestick formations, recent breakouts or breakdowns.

**3.6 Synthesize** — integrate every element above into one coherent current assessment, identify the most significant factors, flag conflicting signals or ambiguity, and establish the key levels that will determine future direction.

### Step 4 — Develop Probabilistic Scenarios

Build 2-4 distinct scenarios per chart. Each scenario needs: a clear descriptive name (e.g., "Bull Case: Breakout Above Resistance"), a probability estimate (all scenarios for one chart must sum to 100%), a description of how it would unfold, at least 2-3 supporting technical factors, target price levels, and an invalidation level that would negate the scenario.

**Typical Scenario Framework:**
- **Base Case (40-60%)** — the most likely outcome given current structure
- **Bull Case (20-40%)** — optimistic scenario requiring an upside breakout
- **Bear Case (20-40%)** — pessimistic scenario requiring a downside breakdown
- **Alternative Scenario (5-15%)** — lower-probability but technically plausible outcome

Adjust these ranges based on the strength of the supporting technical factors for the specific chart, and always keep the total at 100%.

### Step 5 — Generate the Analysis Report

For each chart, return a report covering: chart overview, trend analysis, support/resistance levels, moving-average analysis, volume analysis, chart patterns and price action, current market assessment, scenario analysis (2-4 scenarios with probabilities), summary, and a disclaimer that this is chart-based analysis, not financial advice.

### Step 6 — Repeat for Multiple Charts

Complete the full workflow (Steps 3-5) for one chart, deliver that report, then move to the next chart. Don't batch analyses — finish and deliver each one before starting the next.

## Quality Standards

**Objectivity** — base analysis strictly on observable chart data; don't incorporate news, fundamentals, or sentiment; avoid subjective language ("I think," "I feel"); state uncertainty clearly when signals are ambiguous; present both bullish and bearish possibilities to avoid confirmation bias.

**Completeness** — cover every section of the report; give specific price levels for support, resistance, and targets, not vague descriptions; justify probability estimates with technical factors; include an invalidation level for every scenario.

**Clarity** — use precise technical terminology; write in clear, professional language; make scenarios distinct and mutually exclusive.

## Example Usage

**Single chart:** User provides one weekly chart and asks for analysis → confirm receipt → apply the technical analysis framework → run the full systematic analysis (trend, S/R, MA, volume, patterns) → develop 3 scenarios with probabilities (e.g., 55% bullish continuation, 30% consolidation, 15% reversal) → deliver the complete report.

**Multiple charts:** User provides three charts (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum, Nasdaq) → confirm receipt of all three → analyze and deliver the first chart's full report → repeat for the second and third → confirm all three are complete.

**Focused request:** User asks specifically whether a stock will break above resistance → run the full systematic analysis, but weight the write-up toward resistance levels and breakout probability, with scenario probabilities driven by volume, trend strength, and proximity to resistance.